2008年4月19日 星期六
Why do we live then? To do what we are interested in? to do a service to our kind?
To seek true? To seek happiness? Why? What's the place of achievement? Diligence? Knowledge? Love? Responsibility? and MONEY?
I know men and women smarter than me have tried to answer, and I have little to add to the discussion. But, we all have to find our own answer.
2008年4月18日 星期五
By Jeff Lam, PhD Candidate of University of Michigan, Graduate of LPCUWC, a great friend of mine
no not just the quant side
you won't find the 'winning' formula there
if those are winning formula, al lthe i-banking firms would have made perfect predictions
no use of computer and math
for those things (quant, computer and math): It's impt to leran
but you also need to understand that those won't get you the money in the long run
after all, who created the maths and computer? It's human being
so when you plug in a lot of numbers, it's all about assumptions
and assumptiosn come from humans
Investment, as I realixze now, is really very very easy
have good, SOLID reasons for all the decisions you make
don't be greedy
don't be excited by up
don't be disappointed by down
and you'll do very very well
it's a matter of short- vs. long-term
in short term, your skill is as good as your luck
it's those in long term who can earn consitently that are the REAL players
That's why Warren Buffet earns like 20% per annum and it's like crazy
but if you look at China now, there are many people who earn like more than 400% return
at the end of the day? They lose it all at once
like playing poker
you can go all in in one game, got lucky and your stake doubles, or tribles.
but if you have no idea about stats and pokers, forget it in the long run you are not going to win any major tournaments
that's why why some players are always on top, becuase they know the stats and they know how to read people etc. and they are consistent
same for investment.
Also don't be afraid to steal people's advice
it's completely ok to steal advice and put it as your own
if this person says 0005 is a buy, listen to why he says so then evaluate
if you think his reasons are darn good, take it
if not, you avoid it
the worst piece of advice is when someone tells yout hat stock 0005 is now in this so-and-so shape in technical analysis and you should buy
that's bullshit and won't gain you anything in the long run (at least according to me)
and it's a waste of energy and time to figure all these out
why don't just sit down, think about why, say, 0005 is a good stock and then buy and hold until the stock price truly reflects its value?
unfortunately
most people can't deal with the enthusiasm when the stocks raise
and even more people can't deal with the frustration when the stock drops
I remember buyuing 0005 at a price of $142; it sas like $112 a few month ago? But I wasn't worried. I would have been have I had less exp, but I trust that 0005 is still the biggest stock and people are blowing that subprime mortgage shit out of portion, just like people talking about beijing olympics and all the shit all the time
with a dividend rate of over 7% I really don't see any issues with 0005
this goes well, because most of the people don't see that, and that's how I can gain
if everyone see how to gain, then how do you gain?
just like research: if I say the obvious, then why say it? It's so obvious
if you are going to earn money from the stock market, just remember that most people lose, and you want to be on the winning side
becuase if you see whta most people see, you are about to lose
內 地 股 市 滬 指 昨 日 跌 破 3100 關 口 , 股 民 怨 氣 天 。 有 專 家 擔 心 , A 股 大 幅 持 續 下 跌 , 可 能 引 發 社 會 動 盪 。 福 建 一 名 股 民 日 前 就 因 炒 股 虧 了 10 多 萬 而 淪 為 劫 匪 。 而 股 市 大 跌 , 亦 導 致 內 地 證 券 行 要 裁 員 , 減 少 開 支 。
因 炒 股 票 而 搶 劫 的 男 子 姓 王 , 曾 是 福 州 一 名 證 券 經 紀 , 他 因 看 到 大 牛 市 , 於 是 辭 職 專 心 炒 股 。 不 料 股 市 近 期 連 番 大 跌 , 他 從 去 年 以 來 , 虧 損 了 10 多 萬 元 。 他 為 了 「 回 本 」 , 竟 想 到 靠 打 劫 籌 集 資 本 。 本 月 11 日 至 14 日 凌 晨 , 他 先 後 手 持 仿 真 槍 , 在 五 一 廣 場 、 烏 山 路 附 近 , 搶 劫 的 士 , 用 槍 指 司 機 頭 部 說 : 「 我 手 上 有 槍 , 把 錢 交 出 來 。 」 其 間 他 共 搶 得 120 元 現 金 。
警 方 接 報 後 , 發 現 三 宗 劫 案 疑 犯 都 是 一 名 20 多 歲 的 年 輕 人 , 他 得 手 後 向 附 近 一 家 網 吧 方 向 逃 竄 。 警 方 最 終 在 網 吧 將 他 拘 捕 。 王 被 捕 後 供 稱 因 為 炒 股 虧 蝕 才 去 搶 劫 。
股 市 大 跌 , 成 交 額 大 減 , 令 靠 佣 金 吃 飯 的 證 券 經 紀 也 陷 入 困 境 。 浙 江 杭 州 部 份 證 券 行 要 裁 員 節 省 開 支 。 有 經 紀 稱 , 現 找 新 股 民 開 戶 「 簡 直 像 大 海 撈 針 」 ; 有 證 券 行 經 常 組 織 投 資 報 告 會 等 活 動 「 聚 人 氣 」 ,
但 股 民 只 對 專 家 的 大 勢 分 析 感 興 趣 , 「 一 到 新 基 金 推 介 時 , 下 面 的 聽 眾 幾 乎 全 跑 了 。 」
That's why most people are stupid
專 家?! 大 勢 分 析?!
You want to be not only smarter than these people, but also smarter than people who recognize this. That's when you earn.
financial market is really not tough; well unfortunately Idon't have much interest in it
or no longer captures my interest
get started in investing and experience the ups and downs
get started in investing and thinking in a long-term way
because life is long
experiencing the ups and downs are critical too
don't get too excited when it goes up; don't get frustrated when it goes down
it's the way of the investment market
and it's the way of life